Monday, October 18, 2010

Rogue Trader - Leeson

Rogue Trader by Nick Leeson - 4 out of 5

Rogue Trader is a well written, fast paced, intimate first hand apologetic of Nicky Leeson's dealings on the Simex trading floor in Singapore and how he managed to run up huge losses to the tune of £600 million without anyone noticing and breaking one of England's oldest merchant banks. In a world where Jerome Kerviel loses EUR4.9 billion on unauthorized trades of EUR49 billion for Société Générale , Bernie Madoff runs a US$50 billion Ponzi scheme, where Lehman Brothers no longer exists and AIG is bailed out by the US government for US$180 billion, the "small" affair of losing £600 million in unapproved futures trades and options gambling doesn't seem so terrible, but it was enough to break one of the oldest merchant banks in the UK and create one of the hugest scandals in banking history at the time. Since Leeson broke Barings, many other financial catastrophes and corporate scandals (Long Term Capital Management, Enron, the dot com bubble and sub-prime mortgages to name a few) have come and gone and some remain with us today. Perhaps these events make Rogue Trader even more relevant today than ever.

It seems ironic that in this account of his misdeeds Mr. Leeson comes across as being incredibly honest about his fraud and his crimes. He doesn't shy away from the things he did and admits that he, and he alone is to blame for the catastrophe that befell Barings. He offers excuses (loyalty to the team, covering up their mistakes etc.) but ultimately the book is clear: once the initial deficit in the famed 88888 error account was cleared, greed to generate large profits on a risky futures spread led to the spiraling effect that eventually accrued severe losses for Barings and finally led to their downfall.

Mr. Leeson's account is also clear about the failings in the system and clear on what could have been done to prevent the losses he had accrued over the time he was doing it. I suppose it is easy in retrospect to question why someone would so easily transfer the tens of millions of pounds on a daily basis to cover margin calls, when the capital base of the bank was only a couple of hundred million. It is also hard to believe how it was possible for him to cover his tracks with lies about unauthorized over the counter deals without those deals being properly audited and investigated. Certainly the blame for the high-risk trading falls squarely on Mr. Leeson's shoulders. He doesn't shy away from it and doesn't hide from it, but there were clearly severe structural faults within the bank and no effective risk-management methodologies employed to ensure honesty in the traders and especially to grant oversight to Mr. Leeson. The greatest weakness in the system was Mr. Leeson being granted the right to manage the trading floor and the back office where trades where reconciled. He even admitted this was open to being corrupted and auditors even noted this was a structural weakness, but they never did close the hole. These structural flaws were noted in the book and as per Mr. Leeson, when reports were released by the Singaporean government, many of these flaws were exposed and blame spread across the board for failure to take note of what was going on.

Rogue Trader also has its tender moments. There is no doubt that Mr. Leeson was deeply in love with his wife at the time and there is no doubt that when they were on the run in Malaysia and Brunei there seemed to be genuine affection and love. Mr. Leeson speaks very highly of Lisa and even though they have since divorced, Rogue Trader shows the affection and passion he had for her and she had for him. Some of the moments they shared were truly touching and should not be second guessed. His portrayal of their relationship was an honest one and never, throughout the book is there a bad word said about Lisa (not that I can remember anyway). He truly loved her and she was in my mind amazing to stand by him through the initial troubles and trials he had to endure.

Rogue Trader is therefore a very personal, very real and very honest account of what happened and what caused the bank to crash. Some parts are amusing, others tragic. It is still a fantastic read 15 years after the fact. Since this book was published, Mr. Leeson has served his time in a Singaporean prison, survived colon cancer, remarried, has written a second book and is now the CEO of a football club. In Rogue Trader Mr. Leeson portrays himself as someone who was haunted by his shadows and who was relieved when they were exposed so he could once again walk in the light. Others who failed to provide proper oversight, could not. Some of those protagonists have reignited their careers (e.g. Peter Norris who was the head of Barings Investment Division is now chairman of the Virgin Group) but many did not. Mr. Leeson, as he says in public talks, will always be remembered as the man who broke Barings Bank, but he has moved on with his life and I for one am glad for him.

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